A resource for folks living in or moving to Los Gatos, by Mary Pope-Handy

Los Gatos Homes

What’s Selling in Los Gatos Now? How’s the Market?

What’s selling right now in Los Gatos?  The Los Gatos real estate market tends to have warmer and cooler pockets. (Please also see  The Real Estate Market Trends in Los Gatos .) At the moment, almost anything listed for saleunder $2 million in Los Gatos 95030 and 95032, as long as it’s appropriately priced, staged, and marketed, is selling in under a month – and about half of those that sell do so in about 10 days.  The Los Gatos luxury home market is not quite so on fire, though. As the price rises, so does the “days on market”.

Here’s a quick view of the 95030 median list price by quartile (4 pricing tiers).  All levels have had some movement, but it’s most dramatic in the highest priced homes.

Next, let’s check out Los Gatos 95032, also for the median list price of houses for sale – same situation here with the most irregular movements happening in the top part of the pricing segments.

What about the days on market? Continue reading

Los Gatos Real Estate Market: September's Numbers are Now In

Los Gatos Real Estate Market Trends at a Glance

Los Gatos Real Estate Statistics At A Glance

Year-Over-Year

  • Median home prices increased by 101.9% year-over-year to $852,000 from $422,000.
  • The average home sales price rose by 82.1% year-over-year to $867,591 from $476,330.
  • Home sales rose by 120.0% year-over-year to 11 from 5.
  • Active listings rose 120.0% year-over-year to 11 from 5.
  • Sales price vs. list price ratio rose by 2.0% year-over-year to 100.3% from 98.4%.
  • The average days on market fell by 21.8% year-over-year to 24 from 31.

Compared To Last Month

  • Median home prices slipped by 11.8% to $852,000 from $966,350.
  • The average home sales price fell by 5.5% to $867,591 from $918,212.
  • Home sales Up by 37.5% to 11 from 8.
  • Active listings dropped 15.4% to 11 from 13.
  • Sales price vs. list price ratio dropped by 4.8% to 100.3% from 105.4%.
  • The average days on market increased by 46.0% to 24 from 17.

For more information, data, and opinion on the market, please visit my online Real Estate Report. There you will find the latest stats on not just Los Gatos, but all the cities within Silicon Valley and the major districts within San Jose.

Los Gatos Real Estate Market Update for July 2010

August 05, 2010

The Los Gatos real estate market cooled a bit in July after having a little improvement in the market in June. Sales fell 19.5% from the month before (up 13.8% year-over-year).

Prices slipped in July 2010 with the median sales price for Los Gatos houses dipping 1.6% from the previous month (up 7.0% compared to last year). The average price fell 1.2% in July, a yearly gain of 1.5%.  The low point of the market appears to have been in 2009, so anyone waiting for the best prices in Los Gatos may have missed that point already. 

Inventory fell 2.3% from last month, and was down 5% year-over-year.

Here are the numbers at a glance for houses in Los Gatos:

Trends At a Glance Jul 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $1,230,000 $1,250,000 (-1.6%) $1,150,000 (+7.0%)
Average Price $1,332,280 $1,348,340 (-1.2%) $1,312,410 (+1.5%)
No. of Sales 33 41 (-19.5%) 29 (+13.8%)
Pending Properties 53 62 (-14.5%) 36 (+47.2%)
Active 157 153 (+2.6%) 185 (-15.1%)
Sale vs. List Price 98.8% 96.8% (+2.1%) 96.1% (+2.8%)
Days on Market 36 47 (-21.8%) 62 (-41.7%)

For the Los Gatos condo market, it’s been rougher.

  • Sales fell 9.1% from the month before, and were up 25.0% year-over-year.
  • Prices slipped in Jul 2010 with the median price dipping 9.1% from the previous month, up 12.4% compared to last year. The average price fell 1.8%, a yearly gain of 15.1%.
  • Inventory fell 8.3% from last month, and was down 16.7% year-over-year

And the numbers at a glance for condos:

Trends At a Glance Jul 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $582,000 $640,000 (-9.1%) $518,000 (+12.4%)
Average Price $615,345 $626,625 (-1.8%) $534,806 (+15.1%)
No. of Sales 10 11 (-9.1%) 8 (+25.0%)
Pending Properties
5 8 (-37.5%) 13 (-61.5%)
Active 50 52 (-3.8%) 53 (-5.7%)
Sale vs. List Price 96.0% 97.3% (-1.3%) 99.2% (-3.2%)
Days on Market 80 109 (-26.6%) 86 (-6.5%)

 

Here are some countywide facts on the real estate market:

  • The number of sales fell 6.6% from the month before, and were down 22.7% year-over-year.
  • Prices slipped in Jul 2010 with the median price dipping 1.1% from the previous month, up 9.5% compared to last year. The average price rose 2.4%, a yearly gain of 13.8%. (Condo prices slipped more, in the 2-4% range.) 2009 appears to have been the bottom of the market.
  • Inventory rose 0.9% from last month, and was down 13.5% year-over-year.
  • The list price to sales price ratio slipped slightly but is close to 100% – so we are seeing lower list prices as well as lower sales prices.

Please visit my comprehensive on-line report for Santa Clara County, which includes market data by city and area within the county (for instance, the market for houses or condos in Cambrian, Willow Glen, Almaden, Monte Sereno, Saratoga etc.).

 You can read the full report here: http://popehandy.rereport.com , you may have to cut and paste this address into your browser address bar, or, you can just Click here.

There is also a 4 page printable version with more articles here: http://rereport.com/scc/print/Mary.PopeHandySCC.pdf , you may have to cut and paste this address into your browser address bar, or, you can just Click here.

As always, please contact me for information specific to your home & neighborhood.

Los Gatos & Monte Sereno Real Estate Sales Info for June 2010

July 06, 2010

In general, the Santa Clara County real estate market cooled a bit in June with rising inventory and less demand by home buyers, but in Los Gatos it improved very slightly, while in Monte Sereno it worsened.  Below please find a summary from my Real Estate Report (which you can check out for more information on these areas as well as Saratoga, Almaden Valley, Cambrian Park, Campbell, etc.( Links for each section will take you to the referenced part of the REReport. You may also read a downloadable, 4 page pdf with more articles about the local realty market here.

The Los Gatos (95030 & 95032) Real Estate Market for June 2010 for Houses & Duet Homes

Trends At a Glance Jun 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $1,250,000 $1,231,150 (+1.5%) $1,078,750 (+15.9%)
Average Price $1,348,340 $1,416,700 (-4.8%) $1,078,250 (+25.0%)
No. of Sales 41 29 (+41.4%) 28 (+46.4%)
Pending Properties 62 61 (+1.6%) 42 (+47.6%)
Active 153 158 (-3.2%) 181 (-15.5%)
Sale vs. List Price 96.8% 97.5% (-0.7%) 95.8% (+1.0%)
Days on Market 47 46 (+1.8%) 69 (-32.2%)

The Los Gatos median sales price inched up both year over year and month over month.  (So more expensive homes are starting to sell.)  The average sales price of these houses improved significantly year over year (25%) but fell almost 5% month over month.  Closed and pending sales are both up and inventory is down 15% from a year ago and about 3% from last month.  The list price to sales price ratio fell a little and the days on market stayed close to the same from a month ago.  All in all, it is close to a balanced market for houses in Los Gatos according to the Real Estate Report.

Want more info? I also have a weekly report from Altos Research (uses list prices, not sales prices). Altos breaks it down by zip code and the files below are pdfs:

Los Gatos 95030 Single Family Home (houses & duets) Market for the week of July 3 2010
(pdf, will open new window)
Los Gatos 95032 Single Family Home (houses & duets) Market for the week of July 3 2010
(pdf file, will open in a new window)

The Los Gatos (95030 & 95032) Real Estate Market for June 2010 for Condominiums and Townhouses

Trends At a Glance Jun 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $640,000 $555,000 (+15.3%) $635,000 (+0.8%)
Average Price $626,625 $546,612 (+14.6%) $615,000 (+1.9%)
No. of Sales 11 (+37.5%) (+57.1%)
Pending Properties 8 15 (-46.7%) 11 (-27.3%)
Active 52 43 (+20.9%) 57 (-8.8%)
Sale vs. List Price 97.3% 98.0% (-0.8%) 95.4% (+2.0%)
Days on Market 109 154 (-29.0%) 112 (-2.8%)

The Los Gatos condo & townhome market also improved in June.  Although it is still a buyer’s market, it is creeping its way toward balanced with improving sales prices (both median and average), more closed sales and shrinking days on the market.

If you’d like a little more info on the Los Gatos Condominium & Townhouse Market, please also see these reports from Altos Research, which breaks down the info by zip code (and uses list prices):

Los Gatos 95030 Condo Market for the week of July 3, 2010 (pdf, will open in a new window)
Los Gatos 95032 Condo Market for the week of July 3, 2010&nb
sp;
(pdf, will open in a new
window)

The Monte Sereno (95030) Real Estate Market for June 2010

Monte Sereno has no townhomes or condos, so our market report is reflective only of houses (and estates).

Trends At a Glance Jun 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $2,387,500 $1,632,500 (+46.2%) $1,510,000 (+58.1%)
Average Price $2,387,500 $1,677,500 (+42.3%) $1,510,000 (+58.1%)
No. of Sales 2 (-66.7%) (+100.0%)
Pending Properties 7 (+40.0%) (+16.7%)
Active 39 34 (+14.7%) 30 (+30.0%)
Sale vs. List Price 100.7% 99.3% (+1.5%) 98.8% (+2.0%)
Days on Market 46 71 (-35.5%) (+475.0%)

Sales prices are rising and the number of sales have increased while days on market have decreased.  But with 39 houses for sale in Monte Sereno and just 2 closed in June, that’s a lot more inventory than demand and reflects 19.5 months of inventory.  The rising number of pendings indicates that things are improving, and hopefully will help to counteract the also rising number of homes on the market. Buyers: this is a good time, generally, to purchase a home in Monte Sereno!

The Los Gatos Mountains (95033) Real Estate Market for June 2010

This area includes both portions in Santa Clara County & Santa Cruz County.

Trends At a Glance Jun 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $762,875 $802,000 (-4.9%) $720,000 (+6.0%)
Average Price $709,993 $844,146 (-15.9%) $823,000 (-13.7%)
No. of Sales 10 12 (-16.7%) (+100.0%)
Pending Properties 6 13 (-53.8%) (-14.3%)
Active 52 43 (+20.9%) 35 (+48.6%)
Sale vs. List Price 95.3% 95.7% (-0.4%) 92.5% (+3.1%)
Days on Market 70 81 (-14.6%) 200 (-65.2%)

To get all of the data for every city in Santa Clara County and the major districts in San Jose, please check out my current ReReport online.  Additionally, you can check out listing & sales activity in your own neighborhood (see what’s happening on our MLS) by inputting any address in the county on the REReport’s Property Analysis page.  (It loads a little slowly so please be patient.) There’s no registration required for any of this useful information.

Our local market consists of many micro-markets, often varying from one zip code, price point, or school district to another.  Please contact me if you would like information on your specific market.

Los Gatos Home Sales

November 08, 2009

The Los Gatos real estate market is a moving target.  How’s it today?  It depends on which part of the data you study.   Days on the market are longer, but prices are up, sales are up, and inventory is down.

Los Gatos Houses

Los Gatos homes sold and Los Gatos homes for sale:  first note that inventory is way down (from 200 a year ago to 134 now), the number of pending houses is up (from 11 to 51) and the medial sales price is up (though the average is down) year over year.  Are homes still slipping in value, or are they appreciating?  The answer to that question depends on a home’s particular location, price point, school district, and other factors.  Some homes are still going down in value, but others are rising. The days on market are longer, from 32 DOM to 52.    A lot of indicators are “UP” but it’s still not really easy to sell a Los Gatos home today. With 134 actives and just 25 solds, that’s a 5.36 months supply of inventory – close to “balanced”.  With 51 pendings vs 134 actives, it looks like the odds of selling are about 38% in any given month right now.

Trends At a Glance Oct 2009 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $1,110,000 $1,187,500 (-6.5%) $975,000 (+13.8%)
Average Price $1,182,290 $1,152,560 (+2.6%) $1,465,810 (-19.3%)
No. of Sales 25 22 (+13.6%) 15 (+66.7%)
Pending Properties 51 47 (+8.5%) 11 (+363.6%)
Active 134 143 (-6.3%) 200 (-33.0%)
Sale vs. List Price 96.2% 97.4% (-1.3%) 96.7% (-0.5%)
Days on Market 52 43 (+22.8%) 32 (+64.6%)

To see more data on the single family home sales for October, please see my RE Report for that part of the market.

Los Gatos Condominiums and Townhouses

The Los Gatos townhome and condominium real estate market is likewise better in many ways.  The number of sales is up year over year (9 to 11), pendings are up (5 to 18) and inventory is down from 48 to 37.  Days on the market are longer though, from 33 to 99. So again some mixed indicators.  There’s a shift toward more of a sellers market with the months supply of inventory now at 3.36 months.  Condos and townhomes overall are selling much better than they were a year ago in terms of pricing (up substantially over a year ago, though down from last month).  Buyers are more willing to buy now, probably due to fantastic interest rates and perhaps also some of the great first time homebuyer perks such as the $8000 credit.

Trends At a Glance Oct 2009 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $644,000 $741,500 (-13.1%) $555,000 (+16.0%)
Average Price $652,136 $752,833 (-13.4%) $594,222 (+9.7%)
No. of Sales 11 (+83.3%) (+22.2%)
Pending Properties 18 15 (+20.0%) (+260.0%)
Active 37 39 (-5.1%) 48 (-22.9%)
Sale vs. List Price 97.1% 99.5% (-2.5%) 97.6% (-0.5%)
Days on Market 99 46 (+116.2%) 33 (+201.4%)

 

And to get more details on the Los Gatos condo market, please see my RE Report page with that data.

Closed Sales of Homes in Los Gatos: Yes, The Numbers Are Down

November 03, 2008

How is the Los Gatos real estate market doing?

For many homesellers in Los Gatos (and Silicon Valley generally), and for their Realtors, the real estate market is extremely challenging right now. Buyers have been wary for many months already, but now they’re concerned about a recession and job losses, not just the possibility of a real estate sales price that won’t hold its value later. It is a deepening buyers market overall, but especially within the market for single family homes.

So what is happening with Los Gatos home sales?

Inventory is rising among single family homes and condos and townhomes. Right now there are 197 single family homes for sale (it was over 200 last week) and 44 condominiums or townhomes. A year ago, it was 113 houses and 23 condos. A month ago it was 184 SFH and 45 condos, and a year ago October it was 104 SFH and 22 condos.

Sales were down in October. We had a surge of sales in September, but then the meltdown on Wall Street happened and buyers put on the brakes. In Oct 2007 there were 12 condos closed, but in Oct 2008 just 9 (and with far more inventory).  In Oct 2007 there were 17 houses closed, but in Oct 2008 just 13 (and again, more inventory).

Buy a home in Los GatosThe real estate market in Los Gatos is mixed, depending on the type of housing (house, townhouse, mulit family dwelling, mobile home or other), the price point (entry level vs luxury), zip code, school district, and more. Of the 13 homes that closed last month, 3 were over $3 million. Surprisingly, 5 were under $1 million. Most often, the vast majority of sales is between $1 million and $2 mil or $2,5 mil, but the middle seems to be shrinking now. It’s a strange phenomena! Low priced homes are being bought because, I believe, buyers can “get into Los Gatos” at great prices. The luxury home market is often independent of financing, so those homes are still selling fairly well (despite the loss of stock value in Google and Apple) for now. The middle price range, which often represents move-up buyers who do need at least some financing, appears to be the most impacted market right now.

 

Condos vs Houses: Which Are Selling Better in Los Gatos?

The Los Gatos condo market, which was really struggling earlier this year, has been improving since May. The Los Gatos single family home market, though, is the opposite: it has been worsening steadily since May. The condo market is very small compared to the single family home market, though, so the overall picture is a deepening of the buyers market in Los Gatos.

Below, please find a bar graph that makes these trends clear:  

Absorption rate among condos and single family homes in Los Gatos, CA (Silicon Valley real estate)

The Los Gatos real estate market is made up of many micromarkets. For information on your particular home buying or home selling needs in Los Gatos, please contact me today.

 

Is The Economic Crisis Impacting Los Gatos Home Sales?

October 25, 2008

Several of my buyers have recently decided to hold off until things calm down with the economy. So I wondered if this was widespread or not. Tonight I checked the sales in Los Gatos (zips 95030 and 95032) for the period of 10/1 – 10/25 this year and last year. Sales are slower than last month but still ahead of last year, generally.

Among single family homes in Los Gatos, there have been 15 homes that went sale pending in that time frame this year, wheras there were 8 last year. For condos and townhomes it was 4 this year and 5 last year – close enough to not be significant in my opinion.

Right now, it does not look terribly bad. Sales are mostly ahead of last year at this same time. That said, we’ll know more when ALL the factors are in – price points, list price to sales price ratio, days on market, etc.

Is the Financial Crisis on Wall Street Causing Fewer Home Sales in Los Gatos?

October 12, 2008

I have never followed the stock market so much as I have in the last two weeks. [My primary concern is my kids’ 529 college savings plan, where the money is all in an index fund (that’s how CA has it set up).]And I wondered if Los Gatos home buyers have their downpayments in stocks and may also be holding back, so I took a look at very recent sales data to see if there are any new trends.

From my initial study of the pending sales in Los Gatos and Monte Sereno in the 95030 and 95032 zip codes, it does not appear that a slowdown in buying is happening over & above what we were already experiencing prior to the roller coaster ride on Wall Street.

sales initiated Houses Condos
10/1/2008 – 10/11/2008 7 3
10/1/2007 – 10/11/2007 7 3
09/20/2008 – 09/30/2008 4 5
09/20/2007 – 09/30/2007 4 4

It may be that we will see a change in the Los Gatos real estate market that later we’ll attribute to the financial catastrophe that is going on, but right now, I’m not seeing it. Perhaps the Los Gatos and Monte Sereno home buyers have their downpayment readily accessible in cash. (That is the case with my buyers.)

Los Gatos Single Family Home Absorption Rates and Market Conditions

October 07, 2008

The Los Gatos real estate market for single family homes is a bit of a mixed bag, with some indicators more positive than others, but on the whole, it’s a deepening buyers market.

Below, please see the basic sales data on the closed single family homes in Los Gatos for September 2008. Note that saes are up, but days on market are longer, prices are mostly down (except the year over year average sp), and the list price to sales price ratio is dropping.

Trends At a Glance Sep 2008 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $1,205,000 $1,389,980 (-13.3%) $1,280,000 (-5.9%)
Average Price $1,609,960 $1,669,850 (-3.6%) $1,346,230 (+19.6%)
No. of Sales 27 22 (+22.7%) 17 (+58.8%)
Active 170 138 (+23.2%) 106 (+60.4%)
Sale vs. List Price 94.9% 96.5% (-1.7%) 97.6% (-2.8%)
Days on Market 71 51 (+39.0%) 44 (+61.3%)

A good way to judge the market overall is by crunching the numbers to get the months of inventory (or days, or weeks of inventory), also known as the absorption rate. Next, please view the Los Gatos area (including Monte Sereno and some parts of Cambrian Park and possibly Campbell) known as “area 16” in our MLS.  This lines up almost exactly with Los Gatos and the zip codes 95032 and 95030:

Los Gatos single family homes absorption rates January to Sept 2008 (Silicon Valley real estate)

As you can well see, it is going to take more and more time to sell off the current inventory of single family homes in the Los Gatos area. In fact, it is a strong trend that the buyers market has been deepening. The National Association of Realtors says that 6 months or less is a sellers market, but more than 6 months is a buyers market. We had a little dip in May through July where the sellers were under that threshold, but for the most part, it has not been much of a year for sellers in Los Gatos.

In most times, it’s very challenging for buyers to purchase a home in Los Gatos as there are often multiple offers and high demands from the sellers. Buyers, now is your chance to get in at a reasonable time!  Sellers, if you want to sell, make your home gorgous and price it competitively!

To learn more, please visit my Real Estate Report online, an interactive monthly report that provides information for all of Santa Clara County, including Saratoga, Monte Sereno, Campbell, Almaden Valley, Santa Clara, Cupertino, Sunnyvale, etc., and separated by single family homes and condominiums and townhomes.

Los Gatos Real Estate Market Numbers – In for July 2008

August 11, 2008

Chart of price and sales activity in Los Gatos for single family homes

The numbers are out for July’s sales activity in Los Gatos!

To the left, please see a graph for prices and sales of single family homes in the Town of Los Gatos. Note that sales prices, both median and average, are slipping, while the number of homes sold has been rising. This is welcome news for sellers.

With the Los Gatos condominium or townhouse market, things are less positive for sellers, but a great opportunity for buyers. (This is very much the situation in the Saratoga and Almaden Valley markets too – the luxury condo market is having a far harder time than the single family home market.) Prices are down and the number of homes selling is down also. Please see graph below.

Price and sales activity for condominiums and townhomes in the Town of Los Gatos, CA

Please visit my online Silicon Valley Real Estate Report to see much more data for the Town of Los Gatos or any other part of Silicon Valley’s real estate market. Visitors to the site can navigate to view statistics and graphs for condominiums and townhomes or single family homes by region.

As always, the real estate market is comprised of many “micro markets”, so please contact me for specific information on your particular home or neighborhood.

Mary Pope-Handy

Mary Pope-Handy

Realtor
ABR, CIPS, CRS, SRES
Sereno Group Real Estate
214 Los Gatos-Saratoga Rd
Los Gatos, CA 95030
408 204-7673
Mary (at) PopeHandy.com
License# 01153805

Selling homes in
Silicon Valley, with
special focus on
Los Gatos

and nearby areas,
including
Monte Sereno,
Saratoga,
Campbell,
and the San Jose areas of
Cambrian and Almaden Valley

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Santa Clara County Real Estate,
especially the West Valley areas

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Silicon Valley relocation info

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