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Los Gatos real estate market trends by price point and high school district

There are many factors impacting the Los Gatos real estate market, including the price point and the elementary or high school district. This post is updated every month or two. Today we’ll look at the Los Gatos realty market by pricing tiers and high school district using the months of inventory as a data point. The months of inventory, or MOI, is the currently active (for sale, no contract or pending sale) homes for sale divided by the number of homes using the same criteria which have closed escrow in the last 30 days.

These numbers were run today using MLSListings.com and it’s possible that a few more homes will be recorded as closed sales or new homes added to the market after I ran these numbers. One other disclaimer: sometimes the number of closed sales is very low or is at 0. This can be for many reasons. In some cases, there are a few which are sale pending and simply haven’t closed recently. In other cases, the market might actually be empty in those tiers, indicating a possible lack of demand or inventory. That being said, what do the numbers say?

Los Gatos real estate months of inventory in 95030 and 95032 combined

The overall MOI for the town as a whole with 95030 and 95032 zip codes shows a mild seller’s market, with post-summer cooling likely in what is a typical seasonal pattern. It is a bit of a mixed market when looking at the town as a whole, but less so when viewed by high school district or price point. We’ll see when the month is over, but already in many parts of Santa Clara County, the real estate market is returning to seasonal patterns with some cool pockets and some which remain hotter.

 

 

And here’s the same chart with data from last February. You can see that in mid-winter the inventory was smaller and moving slightly slower.

 

2019-2-12 Los Gatos Months of Inventory 1 - 95030 95032

 

Looking back farther, here’s the same info for last November – the overall absorption rate isn’t much different from right now, and inventory and sales are neck-and-neck. Almost exactly a year ago, the market doesn’t look too different.

 

Los Gatos 95030 and 95032

 

And a reference from April, when the market was red hot:

 

 

The real estate market for homes with the Los Gatos – Saratoga Joint Union High School District only

Now let’s view just the homes which are in the Los Gatos – Saratoga Joint Union High School District (or homes “in the schools” as locals say).Houses for sale with Los Gatos schools tend to be more pricey than those in neighboring school districts. This isn’t just the schools, but is also a function of being closer to downtown Los Gatos. The lowest priced homes in this area are seldom listed for less than $1 million.

 

 

Once again, we’ll compare it against last February. While the overall market is moving faster today than in February, here we can see that for homes in the Los Gatos School District were moving more quickly in winter. While the number of sales hasn’t changed much, inventory has gone up in this sector.

 

2019-2-12 Los Gatos Months of Inventory 2 - LGSUHSD

 

From last November, again, not a ton different between then and now.

 

Los Gatos 95030 95032 LG Schools

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Average & median sale prices in Los Gatos

My RE Report stats come out between the 5th and the 10th of each month, but I like to get a sneak peak, so crunch my own numbers some of the time. Today I wanted a window into Los Gatos real estate pricing. First, here are the average and median sale prices for the Los Gatos market in the two “in town” zip codes of 95030 and 95032 (for single family homes):

2019-5-2 Los Gatos 95030, 95032 average and median sale prices

Next, the Los Gatos Mountains (MLS area 23, zip code 95033):

2019-5-2 Los Gatos 95033 average and median sale prices

Additional market info to follow in just a few days!

Comparing the Los Gatos real estate market to others

Market comparison_ Los Gatos, Saratoga, Cupertino, and Los AltosSilicon Valley real estate market comparison: Los Gatos, Saratoga, Cupertino and Los Altos on the Valley of Heart’s Delight blog, SanJoseRealEstateLosGatosHomes.com

Today we’re looking at the real estate market for houses in some of the “west valley” communities along the base of the Santa Cruz Mountains – areas where schools are good, crime is low, residents enjoy scenic views of the hills (or of the valley from the hills, depending on the location) and overall, a highly educated population not too far from Highway 85.

Please hop on over to my Valley of Heart’s Delight blog to check out how the Los Gatos market is doing as compared to Saratoga, Cupertino, and Los Altos.

https://sanjoserealestatelosgatoshomes.com/market-comparison-los-gatos-saratoga-cupertino-and-los-altos/

 

See also:

Cupertino real estate market trends and statistics

Los Gatos real estate market months of inventory by price point and high school district

December 17, 2013

Sorting out the local Los Gatos real estate market can be a bit tricky, but one of the best instruments for measuring performance is the months of inventory (MOI, or absorption rate).  In this article we’ll consider the MOI houses in Los Gatos 95030 and 95032 by high school district and price point, since I believe those are the two main drivers of our residential real estate market.

 Also, this time I’m adding in the pending sales as an indicator of where the market is going, too – just to cover the bases!  Finally, since I did a similar study the first week in November, but without the pendings, I’ll keep those below the current tables for the sake of comparison. Overall, right now we have a brisk 2 months of inventory for houses in Los Gatos.  But homes in the lowest price point are selling far faster – at about 10 days of inventory!!  The MOI increases very clearly with higher price points, where it becomes increasingly challenging to sell.

Los Gatos all schools by price point

About six weeks earlier, it looked like this chart below -the MOI is now a lot faster (4.19 then to 2.04 now) as inventory has shrunk by about a third and sales have increased (21 to 28 now).  Perhaps most striking is the change in the luxury or high end market over the last six weeks.  It seems far harder to sell a luxury home now as opposed to then.

Los Gatos 95030 & 95032 all schools Next up – homes “in the schools” with Los Gatos High School, then those in the Leigh HS and Westmont HS attendance areas.  How will these numbers stack up compared to the town as a whole?

Please read the full article on my Valley of Hearts Delight blog

 

How’s The Los Gatos Real Estate Market Doing Now?

March 06, 2013

The market is heating up in Los Gatos as of about 4 weeks ago with new sales commenced.  These will not be reflected in the closed sales until early March, so please take the ‘solds’ info below with a grain of salt and keep the changed market conditions in mind!

Below please find the statistics and numbers for house sales in the town of Los Gatos (95030 and 95032), including county pockets, which closed in the month of February 2013. The median price is down both month over month and also year over year.  It has been softer in Los Gatos than in many Silicon Valley communities right now.

Trends At a Glance Feb 2013 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $1,435,000 $1,555,000 (-7.7%) $1,442,500 (-0.5%)
Average Price $1,506,570 $1,704,850 (-11.6%) $2,320,030 (-35.1%)
No. of Sales 19 13 (+46.2%) 16 (+18.8%)
Pending Properties 36 18 (+100.0%) 48 (-25.0%)
Foreclosures Sold 0 0 (N/A) 1 (-100.0%)
Short Sales Sold 2 0 (N/A) 1 (+100.0%)
Active Listings 60 52 (+15.4%) 86 (-30.2%)
Active Foreclosures 1 0 (N/A) 2 (-50.0%)
Active Short Sales 1 0 (N/A) 10 (-90.0%)
Sales Price vs. List Price 97.4% 99.4% (-2.0%) 94.8% (+2.7%)
Days on Market 88 34 (+160.7%) 70 (+25.3%)

Inventory is low all over – and Los Gatos is no exception, though inventory did go up a bit countywide from January 2013 to Feb 2013.  How bad is it? Off 30% from a year ago (and inventory was low then: Feb 2012 was 86, Feb 2011 was 132 available houses).

Days on market: The figure for February of 88 days on market for sold properties reflects the DOM of houses that closed in February and most likely went into contract in January, or possibly December – both of which were “cooler” times than the shift we saw take place in early February 2013.

How long have the currently available single family homes in LG been on the market?

As of this moment, in 95030 and 95032 combined there are just 76 single family homes for sale. Most haven’t been on all that long, in fact, appx 64% or 2/3 have been on the market for 60 days or less, and exactly half of the available inventory has been on the market for 1 month or less.  Let’s see the breakdown in one-month increments of the number of homes in each time bracket.:

0 – 30 days:   38 homes
31 – 60 days:  11
61 – 90 days:   4
91 – 120 days:  4
121 – 150 days: 2
151-180 days: 9
181-210 days: 1
211-240 days: 1
241-270 days: 0
271-300 days: 1
301-330 days: 1
331-365 days: 1
366 + days: 3  (oldest one almost 1500 DOM)

How long were the under contract single family homes in LG on the market?

I won’t repeat this level of detail for the Los Gatos houses which are sale pending or under contract (real estate agents: status 3 & 4), but the average days on market for those 17  pending properties is 26 and of these, only 2 were more than 30 days (1 sold with 49 DOM and another 191 DOM).  In other words, when homes sell now, they are selling faster than the DOM from the closed sales in February would reveal.  This will show up in March’s statistics next month.

Are there multiple offers in Los Gatos, and overbids?

Yes, there are some of each.  I did a spot check of the sales for the last 7 days and the last 14 days and in both cases, the average sales price was higher than the average list price.  For the last 7 days, there were 8 closed sales, 4 above list, 1 at list price and 3 below.)

Los Gatos condominium & townhouse sales (click on link for more info)

Dramatic improvement in the median and average sales price of condos and townhomes in town year over year as well as from the prior month.

Trends At a Glance Feb 2013 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $787,500 $649,000 (+21.3%) $601,000 (+31.0%)
Average Price $708,900 $659,286 (+7.5%) $562,675 (+26.0%)
No. of Sales 10 7 (+42.9%) 8 (+25.0%)
Pending Properties 9 11 (-18.2%) 19 (-52.6%)
Foreclosures Sold 0 0 (N/A)< /span> 2 (-100.0%)
Short Sales Sold 0 0 (N/A) 1 (-100.0%)
Active Listings 9 6 (+50.0%) 24 (-62.5%)
Active Foreclosures 0 0 (N/A) 0 (N/A)
Active Short Sales 0 0 (N/A) 3 (-100.0%)
Sales Price vs. List Price 100.9% 102.1% (-1.2%) 96.1% (+5.0%)
Days on Market 10 18 (-43.9%) 63 (-83.9%)

 

The Monte Sereno real estate market

Monte Sereno houses (no condos in MS) – primarily 95030 but a smattering of 95032 also.  There are so few homes in Monte Sereno (just 4,000 residents) that the sales numbers are very easily skewed.  Disclaimers aside, here are the Monte Sereno market stats:

Trends At a Glance Feb 2013 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $1,600,000 $1,813,000 (-11.7%) $0 (N/A)
Average Price $1,600,000 $2,032,670 (-21.3%) $0 (N/A)
No. of Sales 1 3 (-66.7%) 0 (N/A)
Pending Properties 7 2 (+250.0%) 0 (N/A)
Foreclosures Sold 0 1 (-100.0%) 0 (N/A)
Short Sales Sold 0 0 (N/A) 0 (N/A)
Active Listings 9 6 (+50.0%) 0 (N/A)
Active Foreclosures 0 0 (N/A) (N/A)
Active Short Sales 0 0 (N/A) (N/A)
Sales Price vs. List Price 94.2% 112.0% (-15.9%) 0.0% (N/A)
Days on Market 15 42 (-64.3%) 0 (N/A)

 

 The Los Gatos Mountains real estate market trends and statistics – 95033 – houses, no condos or townhouses only – NO HOMES SOLD/CLOSED in Feb 2013, so no charts to share!

A more affordable, but beautiful, place to live is in the coastal foothills over the town of Los Gatos.  The communities there are closely affiliated with the town of Los Gatos, if distinct!  This area is always tougher to sell, and slower to appreciate. Prices here aren’t much better, and possibly worse off (depending on the area, price point etc.), than a year ago.

Altos Live Charts for Los Gatos 95030 and 95032 plus Los Gatos Mountains 95033 and Monte Sereno Real Estate

Next please enjoy the live Altos charts, which are updated automatically each week – each segment is a little different than the others (and the reports would be more diverse still if we broke these down further, by price quartile – – sign up below if you want these delivered to you via email each week).

As you can see, pricing is stronger in 95030 than in 95032.  This may be due to the schools (only a little of 95030 is in the Campbell Union High School District, but a larger portion of 95032 is).  The strong Los Gatos schools are a major driver of desireability – but not the only one.  Many people want to have the “walk to town” element, even if their kids are in private schools.

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com

Real Estate Market Chart by Altos Research www.altosresearch.com