Los Gatos Real Estate Market: September's Numbers are Now In

Los Gatos Real Estate Market Trends at a Glance

Los Gatos Real Estate Statistics At A Glance

Year-Over-Year

  • Median home prices increased by 101.9% year-over-year to $852,000 from $422,000.
  • The average home sales price rose by 82.1% year-over-year to $867,591 from $476,330.
  • Home sales rose by 120.0% year-over-year to 11 from 5.
  • Active listings rose 120.0% year-over-year to 11 from 5.
  • Sales price vs. list price ratio rose by 2.0% year-over-year to 100.3% from 98.4%.
  • The average days on market fell by 21.8% year-over-year to 24 from 31.

Compared To Last Month

  • Median home prices slipped by 11.8% to $852,000 from $966,350.
  • The average home sales price fell by 5.5% to $867,591 from $918,212.
  • Home sales Up by 37.5% to 11 from 8.
  • Active listings dropped 15.4% to 11 from 13.
  • Sales price vs. list price ratio dropped by 4.8% to 100.3% from 105.4%.
  • The average days on market increased by 46.0% to 24 from 17.

For more information, data, and opinion on the market, please visit my online Real Estate Report. There you will find the latest stats on not just Los Gatos, but all the cities within Silicon Valley and the major districts within San Jose.

Quick look at the Los Gatos real estate market

May 05, 2014

The Los Gatos real estate market is very healthy, with a strong sale price to list price ratio. As with the rest of Santa Clara County, inventory is extremely low, and that is pushing prices up. Today we’ll get a view of the market using just a few charts, but please click on the links for more info (or call, email or reach out to me if you’d like an appointment to discuss your segment of the market in particular).

First, a chart from my Los Gatos Real Estate Report (click on the link for more information).

Los Gatos Single Family Homes

Trends At A Glance Jan 2014 Previous Month Year-over Year Median Home Price +23.7%$1,770,000 $1,431,000 +13.8%$1,555,000 Average Sales Price +34.8%$1,920,450 $1,424,850 +12.6%$1,704,850 No. of Homes Sold -17.4%19 23 +46.2%13 Pending Properties +31.8%29 22 +61.1%18 Foreclosures Sold N/A0 0 N/A0 Short Sales Sold N/A0 0 N/A0 Active Listings +2.1%48 47 -7.7%52 Active Foreclosures N/A1 0 N/A0 Active Short Sales -66.7%1 3 N/A0 Sales Price vs. List Price +0.8%101.1% 100.3% +1.7%99.4% Average Days on Market +136.6%74 31 +118.6%34 – See more at: http://popehandy.rereport.com/market_reports?formSubmit=1&searchtype=search&emailtype=search&period=1&report_description=Santa+Clara+County%2C+All+Cities%2C+All+Neighborhoods&area=15&cities=3048&locations=&yearmonth=2014-1&proptype=1&get_report=#sthash.H93BlIu0.dpuf
Trends At A Glance Jan 2014 Previous Month Year-over Year Median Home Price +23.7%$1,770,000 $1,431,000 +13.8%$1,555,000 Average Sales Price +34.8%$1,920,450 $1,424,850 +12.6%$1,704,850 No. of Homes Sold -17.4%19 23 +46.2%13 Pending Properties +31.8%29 22 +61.1%18 Foreclosures Sold N/A0 0 N/A0 Short Sales Sold N/A0 0 N/A0 Active Listings +2.1%48 47 -7.7%52 Active Foreclosures N/A1 0 N/A0 Active Short Sales -66.7%1 3 N/A0 Sales Price vs. List Price +0.8%101.1% 100.3% +1.7%99.4% Average Days on Market +136.6%74 31 +118.6%34 – See more at: http://popehandy.rereport.com/market_reports?formSubmit=1&searchtype=search&emailtype=search&period=1&report_description=Santa+Clara+County%2C+All+Cities%2C+All+Neighborhoods&area=15&cities=3048&locations=&yearmonth=2014-1&proptype=1&get_report=#sthash.H93BlIu0.dpuf

The Los Gatos Condominium and Townhouse Market

Next, the same information but for Los Gatos condos and townhomes:

Los Gatos condominiums and townhouses

 

Los Gatos real estate market for May 30, 2012

May 30, 2012

Months of Inventory for the Los Gatos Real Estate Market by School District and Price Point

 The Los Gatos real estate market is “hot” overall – but not equally, and certainly not in all areas or price points!  Yesterday I crunched the numbers from my MLS to provide for you the absorption reate or months of inventory.  This figure is calculated by getting the count of active listings (not under contract – some statisticians include pending sales as well) and the sales closed in the last month and dividing them.  If there are 3 homes for sale and 1 closed in the last month, you have 3 months of inventory.  What this means is simple: if no new inventory came on the market, how long, at the current rate of sales, would it be for buyers to “absorb” the current supply of inventory?  The shorter it is, the hotter the market. Five or six months is balanced.

Group One: The more affordable homes in 95030 and 95032 in Los Gatos – up to $2 million. Where it says “infinite”, that means that homes are for sale but none sold/closed escrow in thel last 30 days.  Where it says N/A, no homes for sale or sold. Have a look:

Los Gatos, CA real estate market - absorption rate for houses for sales up to $2 million as of May 30, 2012  - Mary Pope-Handy, Realtor, Sereno Group, Los Gatos

What’s hot? Up to the $1.5 million point, everything in LG is hot!  The cooling starts at $1.5 mil in the part of down with Campbell or Union Schools.  For houses “in the schools”, the market remains strong up to the $2 million mark, where it changes dramatically.

How are things for the over $2,000,000 point?

Los Gatos real estate market absorption rate for houses over $2 million May 30, 2012 - Mary Pope-Handy, Sereno Group, Los Gatos.

Over $2 million, it’s anywhere from a balanced market to impossible to sell for Los Gatos houses on the market. Homes over $2 million are tough to sell if they don’t feed to Los Gatos High School.  But even properties which have LGHS as the school of attendance are challenged to sell in the upper pricing tiers.

 

Los Gatos Real Estate Report for April 2012 Sales

Prices are up for Los Gatos real estate sales! (Click on link for full data from my Los Gatos Real Estate Report.)

Below please find the statistics and numbers for house sales in the town of Los Gatos (95030 and 95032) which closed in the month of April.   Things are looking up!

 

Trends At a Glance Apr 2012 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $1,350,000 $1,260,500 (+7.1%) $1,344,000 (+0.4%)
Average Price $1,431,940 $1,405,640 (+1.9%) $1,479,120 (-3.2%)
No. of Sales 39 38 (+2.6%) 30 (+30.0%)
Pending Properties 54 53 (+1.9%) 47 (+14.9%)
Foreclosures Sold 3 2 (+50.0%) 0 (N/A)
Short Sales Sold 3 1 (+200.0%) 1 (+200.0%)
Active Listings 78 88 (-11.4%) 50 (+56.0%)
Sales Price vs. List Price 99.6% 100.1% (-0.6%) 96.7% (+2.9%)
Days on Market 36 35 (+2.4%) 61 (-41.3%)

Los Gatos condominium & townhouse sales (click on link for more info)

Improvement month over month, but year over year the numbers are still down. 

Trends At a Glance Apr 2012 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $616,000 $565,000 (+9.0%) $715,000 (-13.8%)
Average Price $596,557 $590,294 (+1.1%) $768,500 (-22.4%)
No. of Sales 11 17 (-35.3%) 5 (+120.0%)
Pending Properties 21 15 (+40.0%) 13 (+61.5%)
Foreclosures Sold 2 2 (0.0%) 1 (+100.0%)
Short Sales Sold 1 2 (-50.0%) 0 (N/A)
Active Listings 11 20 (-45.0%) 40 (-72.5%)
Sales Price vs. List Price 98.1% 96.8% (+1.3%) 97.4% (+0.7%)
Days on Market 63 78 (-19.3%) 108 (-41.6%)

The Los Gatos Mountains 

Softer prices prevail in the mountains….

Trends At a Glance Apr 2012 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $662,500 $678,000 (-2.3%) $715,000 (-7.3%)
Average Price $589,750 $651,484 (-9.5%) $683,750 (-13.7%)
No. of Sales 4 8 (-50.0%) 4 (0.0%)
Pending Properties 16 8 (+100.0%) 7 (+128.6%)
Foreclosures Sold 0 1 (-100.0%) 0 (N/A)
Short Sales Sold 0 1 (-100.0%) 0 (N/A)
Active Listings 31 32 (-3.1%) 21 (+47.6%)
Sales Price vs. List Price 91.6% 99.6% (-8.1%) 93.6% (-2.1%)
Days on Market 190 90 (+112.0%) 144 (+32.2%)

Los Gatos Real Estate Market Trends

January 11, 2011

December 2010 sales numbers in Los Gatos

December was a good month for sales of houses in Los Gatos, showing a dramatic 63% increase in the number of closed sales over the month before. Inventory was down sharply too, further increasing the odds of a sale in December.  With lower inventory and buyers jumping on interest rates as they began to creep up, it was a sellers market for this part of the Los Gatos real estate market.  For many more details, click on the link below.  A sumary of the number follows directly beneath it.

The Los Gatos Real Estate Market Trends Report: Single Family Homes (houses & duet homes)

December 2010:  Sales increased 63.2% from the month before, and were up 14.8% year-over-year. Prices slipped in Dec 2010 with the median price dipping 13% from the previous month, down 15% compared to last year. The average price fell 7.4%, a yearly loss of 10.3%. Inventory fell 26.7% from last month, and was down 10% year-over-year.

Trends At a Glance Dec 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $1,000,000 $1,150,000 (-13.0%) $1,176,000 (-15.0%)
Average Price $1,203,520 $1,299,320 (-7.4%) $1,342,370 (-10.3%)
No. of Sales 31 19 (+63.2%) 27 (+14.8%)
Pending Properties 39 48 (-18.8%) 31 (+25.8%)
Active 87 124 (-29.8%) 109 (-20.2%)
Sale vs. List Price 96.5% 94.5% (+2.1%) 96.8% (-0.2%)
Days on Market 69 75 (-7.5%) 59 (+17.2%)

The Condo market in Los Gatos is another story! December saw a slight improvement in market conditions but it remains a buyers market for Los Gatos condominium or townhouse buyers.  The prices (average and median) both slipped, as did the list price to sales price ratio, accompanied by a longer “days on market”, underlying the soft market.

The Los Gatos Real Estate Market Trends Report: Condominiums & Townhouses 
(aka condos & townhomes)

December 2010: Sales increased 12.5% from the month before, and were up 12.5% year-over-year.  Prices slipped in Dec 2010 with the median price dipping 7% from the previous month, down 7.4% compared to last year. The average price fell 6.6%, a yearly loss of 16.5%. Inventory fell 18.8% from last month, and was down 20.4% year-over-year.

Trends At a Glance Dec 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $520,000 $559,000 (-7.0%) $561,500 (-7.4%)
Average Price $493,267 $527,988 (-6.6%) $590,738 (-16.5%)
No. of Sales 9 8 (+12.5%) 8 (+12.5%)
Pending Properties 5 10 (-50.0%) 9 (-44.4%)
Active 34 38 (-10.5%) 40 (-15.0%)
Sale vs. List Price 95.2% 99.0% (-3.9%) 97.2% (-2.1%)
Days on Market 107 38 (+181.7%) 103 (+3.2%)

November 2010’s numbers for Los Gatos residential real estate sales – first for houses, then condos:

Trends At a Glance Nov 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $1,150,000 $1,080,000 (+6.5%) $1,360,000 (-15.4%)
Average Price $1,299,320 $1,305,570 (-0.5%) $1,412,730 (-8.0%)
No. of Sales 19 32 (-40.6%) 31 (-38.7%)
Pending Properties 48 45 (+6.7%) 46 (+4.3%)
Active 124 141 (-12.1%) 142 (-12.7%)
Sale vs. List Price 94.5% 96.4% (-1.9%) 96.2% (-1.8%)
Days on Market 75 33 (+127.0%) 63 (+19.0%)

Trends At a Glance Nov 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $559,000 $525,500 (+6.4%) $573,500 (-2.5%)
Average Price $527,988 $534,833 (-1.3%) $560,394 (-5.8%)
No. of Sales 8 6 (+33.3%) 8 (0.0%)
Pending Properties 10 6 (+66.7%) 10 (0.0%)
Active 38 44 (-13.6%) 43 (-11.6%)
Sale vs. List Price 99.0% 96.0% (+3.1%) 96.5% (+2.6%)
Days on Market 38 101 (-62.6%) 95 (-60.1%)

The real estate market will vary based on zip code, school district, price point, square footage of home & land etc., so this is only a very broad overview.  Information for your home’s segment of the market could be very different.  For instance, there’s a huge difference betwen the luxury home market and the entry level markets in Los Gatos.  Often there’s a big gap between a “walk to town” home and one that’s remote. So too with “sale type”: regular vs short sale vs bank owned. Loads of variables.  Please contact me for specific info on your area or part of the market.

Want a longer timeframe, such as annual or quarterly report, or the performance of the market going back a few years?  You can view the 2010 annual report, qua
rt
erly reports or view sales around any address in Santa Clara County (Campbell, Saratoga, San Jose and also areas of San Jose such as Cambrian Park or Almaden Valley) by visiting
www.popehandy.rereport.com.

To see the most recent posts or articles on this topic, please click here:
Los Gatos Homes & Housing Market

Interested in selling or buying a home in Los Gatos? Please call or email me today!
Mary Pope-Handy, Realtor, Sereno Group
408 204-7673  mary (at) popehandy.com

A Five Year View of the Los Gatos Real Estate Market (Jan 2005 to June 2010)

July 17, 2010

Today I want to step back and look not at the micro-markets but at the overall realty market in Los Gatos  from January 2005 to the present (through June 2010) and to get a sense of the major trends in our real estate sales.

Ratio of inventory to sales: One of the best ways to gage the health of the local real estate market is to check the ratio between available listings or inventory and homes closed in the last month (that ratio gives us the “months of inventory”). Below please find the numbers of listings and solds per month in Los Gatos beginning in January 2005 and going through June 2010.

Los Gatos Residential Real Estate Listings and Solds Jan 2005 to June 2010

The red bars above represent inventory (or available listings) and the yellow represent solds during that month.  While there are always more listings than solds, the futher apart they are the better it is for buyers and the worse for sellers.  When they are relatively close together, it’s more of a seller’s market (and worse for buyers).   You can see that in late 2006 and into early 2007 those two were at their closest – that was a strong seller’s market here.

Looking at the most recent bars on the far right hand side, which are for June 2010, you can see that sales are up a little but listings are up even more.  The net result is that it’s swung more into the buyer’s favor.   You can scan the last five years and see worse times, though, as in late 2008 and early 2009, when it looked like there was practically a moratorium on sales.

Also, if you find the bars for December for each year, you’ll see that the ratio between listings and solds is better (if you’re a seller).  What’s happening there?  Many homes are taken off the market during the holidays, but those which stay on have better odds of selling. 

Median Sales Price of Los Gatos Homes Sold:  The next big question that buyers and sellers have is how much homes are worth. Over the last 5.5 years in Los Gatos, we have seen our usually strong market take a bad tumble beginning in mid 2008 and then roller-coastering a bit from there. Overall, it looks like the “low” point is behind us, but it will take several more months of higher median sales prices for buyers and sellers to be confident throughout Los Gatos. (This is the town as a whole.  The market can be very different from one price point to the next – this is just a generalization.)

Los Gatos residential real estate median sales price Jan 2005 to June 2010

Average Days on Market: Finally, how long do homes stay on the market in Los Gatos before selling or being pulled from the market?

Los Gatos real estate average days on market

The average days on market are low for many months in the first half of this time period, but there are some spikes.  Just as the ratio of listings to solds is more favorable in December in the second chart, in this one we see that the days on market in December are usually the longest.   It is tempting to say that these homes are “picked over” but not every home that is available in December has been on the market a long time.   Conversely, the shortest months are often (though not always) in early spring – February through April.

This year, the trend for average days on market has been a bit up and down, but overall it’s better than most of what we’ve been seeing for the last two years.  The occasional months with spikes cause us to be less than certain, though, about recovery for this market as a whole.

Absorption Rates for Los Gatos & Monte Sereno Real Estate Market by Sale Type: Short Sale, Bank Owned, Regular Sale

May 26, 2010

The Los Gatos & Monte Sereno real estate market has been improving in recent months.  Below please find the numbers of Monte Sereno & Los Gatos homes for sale right now, both houses and duet homes as well as condominiums and townhouses, followed by the months of inventory for each set.  Six months is a “balanced” market.  Fewer is a seller’s market and more is a buyer’s market.  The months of inventory (or absorption rate) is one of the best ways to gage the market conditions overall.

As you can see, in general the market is “balanced” for houses and condos alike, both hovering close to six months, and is a seller’s market for distressed properties (short sales and bank owned homes).  The bargain prices found with short sales and REOs makes them the hot ticket of the market in general. Short sale and bank owned condominiums or townhomes for sale are the sweet spot of the Los Gatos & Monte Sereno realty market right now with just 1 -2 months of inventory.

April 2010 Real Estate Sales Numbers for Los Gatos Now Ready

May 06, 2010

My Santa Clara County Real Estate Report is now updated for the April 2010 sales

Countywide, there are now more pending homes than available homes for sale here in Silicon Valley!  But how about in Los Gatos?  The ratio is about half as many pendings to availables here, both for houses and for condominiums or townhomes.  (The list price to sales price ratio is also lower here – countywide it’s at about 100% but here, as you can see below, it’s around 96%.)

Get the full report for Los Gatos homes & real estate online.

Here’s the summary for Los Gatos houses & duet homes:

Trends At a Glance Apr 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $1,275,000 $942,500 (+35.3%) $955,000 (+33.5%)
Average Price $1,333,370 $1,235,480 (+7.9%) $1,035,330 (+28.8%)
No. of Sales 29 22 (+31.8%) 25 (+16.0%)
Pending Properties 60 45 (+33.3%) 26 (+130.8%)
Active 130 121 (+7.4%) 170 (-23.5%)
Sale vs. List Price 96.6% 97.4% (-0.8%) 95.0% (+1.7%)
Days on Market 70 89 (-20.6%) 54 (+29.1%)

And for condos and townhouses in Los Gatos (see the full report online):

Trends At a Glance Apr 2010 Previous Month Year-over Year
Median Price $692,500 $543,000 (+27.5%) $710,000 (-2.5%)
Average Price $683,625 $572,833 (+19.3%) $700,222 (-2.4%)
No. of Sales 8 (+33.3%) (-11.1%)
Pending Properties 19 19 (0.0%) (+137.5%)
Active 40 52 (-23.1%) 51 (-21.6%)
Sale vs. List Price 95.9% 101.5% (-5.6%) 94.5% (+1.5%)
Days on Market 56 29 (+96.1%) 74 (-24.0%)

To see the data, charts & graphs for listings and sales in Los Gatos, Monte Sereno, Saratoga, Cambrian Park, Almaden, Campbell, Willow Glen or anywhere in Santa Clara County, please visit my RE Report online now!